Market Intelligence Report — TX-420

Austin, TX

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-TX-09
As of the latest 2026 data
Cooling

Median Listing

$446K
-9.8% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.27
-0.6% YoY

Active Inventory

12,083
+1.5% YoY

Median DOM

80 Days
+1.3% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

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The Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos metro is currently exhibiting Cooling conditions. The pending ratio stands at 0.27, reflecting absorption dynamics that align with a subdued demand environment. Active listings have marginally increased year-over-year by 1.5%, contributing to an inventory overhang.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Job Market

3.7%+0.0 pp YoY

Unemployment rate · Sep 2026

Shows whether local employment conditions are supporting buyer demand.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Population & Migration

2.62M+2.1% YoY

Resident population · Jan 2025

Shows whether the area is gaining or losing potential housing demand.

U.S. Census Bureau via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Future Housing Supply

3,257+24.2% YoY

Building permits (private housing units) · Sep 2026

Shows whether future inventory pressure may increase.

U.S. Census Bureau building permits via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Market Analysis

What's moving the Austin market right now.

Over the past year, the market has observed a 9.8% decline in the median listing price and an 8.4% reduction in median price per square foot, indicating downward pressure on valuations. Active listings expanded by 1.5% year-over-year, while new listings saw a slight increase of 2.1%. The pending ratio experienced a significant decrease of 0.6 year-over-year, underscoring a deceleration in demand absorption relative to available inventory.

Texas capital with a still-cooling tech-fueled market and renewed buyer leverage.

Alex Hernandez-Bobrow
Keller Williams Realty

“Local pricing and inventory dynamics across Austin shift block by block — happy to walk through what's actually closing.”

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$446K-0.8% MoM

Active Inventory

12,083+1.5% YoY

Days on Market

80+1.3% YoY

Sold Score™

32-0.6% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

32
Oct 23Sep 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Oct 23Sep 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Oct 23May 24Dec 24Jul 25Feb 26Sep 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

With a pending ratio of 0.27 and an expansion in active listings, buyers are encountering extended decision timelines and a greater selection of properties. The declining median listing price suggests an environment where price discipline is paramount for sellers, and the pace of transactions remains measured. This context affords more deliberate negotiation on price and terms.

Luxury Segment

The average listing price, at $698,730, is significantly elevated compared to the median listing price of $446,450, suggesting a widening spread at the upper end of the market. This, combined with a year-over-year average listing price decline of 7.2% and a median $/sqft decline of 8.4%, indicates some softness within the higher-priced segments.

Supply Dynamics

12,083 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 2,926 per month.

Pricing Pressure
27.3%

of active listings carry a price reduction, -0.3% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$0K

Median price per square foot has moved -8.4% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.27

Pending-to-active ratio — Cooling.

Recommended For This Market

Cooling

Selling in Austin, TX? Buyer Demand Index is running at 27%.

Buyers have leverage in Austin, TX. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
27%
Median Days on Market
80 days
Inventory YoY
+1%

In a buyer's market, strategy beats timing. See how your home scores in Austin, TX and what moves the number.

See my Sold Score & selling strategy →

Talk to a listing expert who is actively selling in Austin, TX.

Alex Hernandez-Bobrow →

Keller Williams Realty

How these recommendations are chosen →

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Metro Demographics

MSA Population
2.3M
Metro Area
Austin–Round Rock
CBSA Code
12420
State
TX

ZIPs in Austin, TX

Sorted by active inventory · click a ZIP for its full report

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