Market Intelligence Report — NC-500

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-NC-09
As of the latest 2026 data
Cooling

Median Listing

$460K
-4.0% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.41
-5.9% YoY

Active Inventory

2,310
+18.2% YoY

Median DOM

60 Days
+3.9% YoY

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The Durham-Chapel Hill market is currently categorized as Cooling, characterized by a pending ratio of 0.41. This metric, which measures demand absorption relative to active inventory, indicates a deceleration in market velocity. The median listing price has experienced a year-over-year decline of 4.0%.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Job Market

2.8%-0.6 pp YoY

Unemployment rate · Sep 2026

Shows whether local employment conditions are supporting buyer demand.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Population & Migration

625,485+1.2% YoY

Resident population · Jan 2025

Shows whether the area is gaining or losing potential housing demand.

U.S. Census Bureau via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Future Housing Supply

538-18.0% YoY

Building permits (private housing units) · Sep 2026

Shows whether future inventory pressure may increase.

U.S. Census Bureau building permits via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Market Analysis

What's moving the Durham-Chapel Hill market right now.

Active listings have seen an 18.2% expansion over the past year, reaching 2,310 units. Concurrently, new listings increased by 5.7% year-over-year. The pending ratio has decreased by 5.9% year-over-year to 0.41, signaling a reduction in demand relative to available supply. Median days on market increased by 3.9% over the past year.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$460K-2.1% MoM

Active Inventory

2,310+18.2% YoY

Days on Market

60+3.9% YoY

Sold Score™

50-5.9% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

50
Oct 23Sep 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Oct 23Sep 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Oct 23May 24Dec 24Jul 25Feb 26Sep 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

The pace of transactions is decelerating as evidenced by the 0.41 pending ratio and the increased days on market. Expanding inventory levels suggest reduced pressure on available properties. This environment necessitates price discipline from sellers, as 24.1% of listings currently show price reductions, indicating an adjustment to market conditions.

Luxury Segment

The average listing price, at $660,149, is notably higher than the median listing price of $460,135, creating a spread that may suggest some softness in the higher-price tiers. The median $/sqft also declined by 3.5% over the past year, which could further reflect adjustments in this segment.

Supply Dynamics

2,310 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 816 per month.

Pricing Pressure
24.1%

of active listings carry a price reduction, +2.5% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$0K

Median price per square foot has moved -3.5% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.41

Pending-to-active ratio — Cooling.

Recommended For This Market

Cooling

Selling in Durham-Chapel Hill, NC? Inventory is up 18% from last year.

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC is sitting near equilibrium. Preparation, pricing and timing decide whether a listing sells fast or lingers.

Buyer Demand Index
41%
Median Days on Market
60 days
Inventory YoY
+18%

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC is balanced, so preparation decides the outcome. Your Sold Score shows where you stand today.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
Durham-Chapel Hill, NC
CBSA Code
20500
State
NC

ZIPs in Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

Sorted by active inventory · click a ZIP for its full report