Market Intelligence Report — PA-420

Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-PA-09
As of the latest 2026 data
Accelerated

Median Listing

$327K
-5.3% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.80
+1.1% YoY

Active Inventory

1,029
+2.9% YoY

Median DOM

39 Days
+2.7% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

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The Harrisburg-Carlisle market is exhibiting Accelerated conditions, with a pending ratio of 0.80 indicating demand is substantially absorbing available inventory. Active listings have seen a modest 2.9% year-over-year increase, while new listings experienced a notable decline.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Job Market

2.9%-1.2 pp YoY

Unemployment rate · Sep 2026

Shows whether local employment conditions are supporting buyer demand.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Population & Migration

617,427+0.5% YoY

Resident population · Jan 2025

Shows whether the area is gaining or losing potential housing demand.

U.S. Census Bureau via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Future Housing Supply

Data not yet available.

Shows whether future inventory pressure may increase.

Market Analysis

What's moving the Harrisburg-Carlisle market right now.

Inventory levels remain constrained, with active listings rising by a modest 2.9% over the past year and new listings decreasing by 12.9% year-over-year. This has led to a persistent absorption rate, as evidenced by the pending ratio maintaining a high level. Median listing prices have experienced year-over-year declines of 5.3%, alongside a 3.6% reduction in median price per square foot.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$327K-3.8% MoM

Active Inventory

1,029+2.9% YoY

Days on Market

39+2.7% YoY

Sold Score™

79+1.1% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

79
Oct 23Sep 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Oct 23Sep 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Oct 23May 24Dec 24Jul 25Feb 26Sep 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

The high pending ratio suggests rapid absorption of available properties, placing pressure on inventory levels. This environment implies a faster transaction pace and reduced opportunities for price negotiation, as demand continues to outstrip the rate of new supply entering the market.

Luxury Segment

The average listing price in the Harrisburg-Carlisle market has declined by 7.3% year-over-year, outpacing the 5.3% year-over-year decline in median listing price. This disparity suggests potential softening within higher price tiers of the market.

Supply Dynamics

1,029 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 592 per month.

Pricing Pressure
20.2%

of active listings carry a price reduction, +2.1% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$0K

Median price per square foot has moved -3.6% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.80

Pending-to-active ratio — Accelerated.

Recommended For This Market

Accelerated

Selling in Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA? Buyer Demand Index is running at 80%.

Demand in Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA is outpacing supply. Well-prepared listings are still clearing quickly — pricing to the current pace matters more than waiting.

Buyer Demand Index
80%
Median Days on Market
39 days
Inventory YoY
+3%

Demand is strong in Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA. Check your Sold Score before you price — conditions this favorable don't hold forever.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
CBSA Code
25420
State
PA

ZIPs in Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA

Sorted by active inventory · click a ZIP for its full report