Market Intelligence Report — TX-020

Victoria, TX

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-TX-08
As of the latest 2026 data
Cooling

Median Listing

$299K
+8.7% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.26
+8.1% YoY

Active Inventory

328
-8.4% YoY

Median DOM

71 Days
+4.4% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

Will your home sell in today's cooling Victoria market?

Sold Score™ analyzes 40+ local data points to estimate your home's probability of sale in the next 60 days across Victoria, TX.

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The Victoria, TX market is currently characterized as Cooling, with a pending ratio of 0.26, indicating demand absorption is lagging inventory. Active listings have contracted by 8.4% year-over-year, while the median listing price has increased by 8.7% over the past year to $299,000.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Job Market

4.8%+0.3 pp YoY

Unemployment rate · Jul 2026

Shows whether local employment conditions are supporting buyer demand.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Population & Migration

99,864+0.5% YoY

Resident population · Jan 2025

Shows whether the area is gaining or losing potential housing demand.

U.S. Census Bureau via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Future Housing Supply

Data not yet available.

Shows whether future inventory pressure may increase.

Market Analysis

What's moving the Victoria market right now.

While active listings have decreased by 8.4% year-over-year, new listings remained stable. The pending ratio currently stands at 0.26, showing an 8.1% increase over the past year, but still reflecting a low rate of demand absorption relative to available supply. The median listing price has shown an 8.7% rise over the past year, despite a month-over-month decline of 6.1%.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$299K-6.1% MoM

Active Inventory

328-8.4% YoY

Days on Market

71+4.4% YoY

Sold Score™

38+8.1% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

38
Sep 23Aug 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Sep 23Aug 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Sep 23Apr 24Nov 24Jun 25Jan 26Aug 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

With a low pending ratio of 0.26, the current environment suggests a slower pace of transactions, placing less pressure on inventory. This dynamic implies that properties may remain on the market for longer, necessitating price discipline from sellers.

Luxury Segment

The average listing price has grown by 16.8% over the past year, notably outpacing the 8.7% growth in the median listing price, and the 3.8% increase in median $/sqft. This suggests potential divergence and softness in the higher-priced segments of the market.

Supply Dynamics

328 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 88 per month.

Pricing Pressure
22.8%

of active listings carry a price reduction, -7.4% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$0K

Median price per square foot has moved +3.8% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.26

Pending-to-active ratio — Cooling.

Recommended For This Market

Cooling

Selling in Victoria, TX? Buyer Demand Index is running at 26%.

Buyers have leverage in Victoria, TX. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
26%
Median Days on Market
71 days
Inventory YoY
−8%

In a buyer's market, strategy beats timing. See how your home scores in Victoria, TX and what moves the number.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
Victoria, TX
CBSA Code
47020
State
TX

ZIPs in Victoria, TX

Sorted by active inventory · click a ZIP for its full report

Analysis FAQ
  • What is the current market condition in Victoria?+

    As of the latest 2026 data, the Victoria metro is classified as Cooling. Pending ratio is 0.26 with median days on market at 71.

  • Are home prices dropping in Victoria?+

    Median listing price is $299K, +8.7% year over year. 22.8% of active listings carry a price reduction.

  • How fast are homes selling in Victoria?+

    The typical listing sits 71 days on market, a +4.4% change YoY. New listings are arriving at 88 per month.

  • What's happening in the Victoria luxury market?+

    The average listing price has grown by 16.8% over the past year, notably outpacing the 8.7% growth in the median listing price, and the 3.8% increase in median $/sqft. This suggests potential divergence and softness in the higher-priced segments of the market.

  • Where can I find a trusted Victoria real estate expert?+

    Primpted maintains a vetted registry of Victoria agents with verified credentials, Google reviews, and neighborhood specialization. See the Featured Experts section above.

Data & Methodology

Primary data sourced via Realtor.com's RDC Inventory Core Metrics (CBSA-level), supplemented by editorial analysis and the Primpted local expert registry. Historical trends calculated on a rolling 12-month basis. Past direction is not a forecast.

As of the latest 2026 data · CBSA 47020 · 36mo history