Market Intelligence Report — TX-240

Fredericksburg, TX

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-TX-09
As of the latest 2026 data
Very Weak

Median Listing

$745K
-6.3% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.15
-1.8% YoY

Active Inventory

452
-1.7% YoY

Median DOM

108 Days
+5.9% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

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The Fredericksburg market is currently characterized as Very Weak, with a pending ratio of 0.15, indicating demand absorption severely lags supply. This is coupled with a year-over-year decline of 6.3% in the median listing price, reflecting persistent downward price pressure.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Local economic indicators are not yet available for this metro. Check back soon.
Market Analysis

What's moving the Fredericksburg market right now.

Active listings have shown a slight contraction of 1.7% over the past year, yet new listings have increased by 33.3% year-over-year, contributing to overall supply. The median days on market has lengthened by 5.9% year-over-year to 108 days, while the pending ratio has declined by 1.8% over the past year, reflecting further softening of demand. Despite a moderate increase in new supply, total listings remained elevated.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$745K-0.2% MoM

Active Inventory

452-1.7% YoY

Days on Market

108+5.9% YoY

Sold Score™

27-1.8% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

27
Oct 23Sep 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Oct 23Sep 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Oct 23May 24Dec 24Jul 25Feb 26Sep 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

In this Very Weak market, the low pending ratio and increasing days on market suggest that properties are taking considerably longer to go under contract. The pace of transactions is slow, placing pressure on sellers to exercise greater price discipline. The current conditions limit sellers' leverage, necessitating strategic pricing and patience to achieve absorption.

Luxury Segment

The average listing price of $1,159,336 significantly exceeds the median listing price of $745,250, indicating an elevated concentration of higher-priced inventory. However, both the average and median listing prices have declined by 6.3% year-over-year, suggesting widespread price adjustments across market segments rather than a distinct luxury-segment softness. Median $/sqft has also decreased by 1.8% year-over-year.

Supply Dynamics

452 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 72 per month.

Pricing Pressure
10.7%

of active listings carry a price reduction, -1.1% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$0K

Median price per square foot has moved -1.8% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.15

Pending-to-active ratio — Very Weak.

Recommended For This Market

Very Weak

Selling in Fredericksburg, TX? Homes here are taking 6 days longer to sell than last year.

Buyers have leverage in Fredericksburg, TX. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
15%
Median Days on Market
108 days
Inventory YoY
−2%

In a buyer's market, strategy beats timing. See how your home scores in Fredericksburg, TX and what moves the number.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
Fredericksburg, TX
CBSA Code
23240
State
TX
Analysis FAQ
  • What is the current market condition in Fredericksburg?+

    As of the latest 2026 data, the Fredericksburg metro is classified as Very Weak. Pending ratio is 0.15 with median days on market at 108.

  • Are home prices dropping in Fredericksburg?+

    Median listing price is $745K, -6.3% year over year. 10.7% of active listings carry a price reduction.

  • How fast are homes selling in Fredericksburg?+

    The typical listing sits 108 days on market, a +5.9% change YoY. New listings are arriving at 72 per month.

  • What's happening in the Fredericksburg luxury market?+

    The average listing price of $1,159,336 significantly exceeds the median listing price of $745,250, indicating an elevated concentration of higher-priced inventory. However, both the average and median listing prices have declined by 6.3% year-over-year, suggesting widespread price adjustments across market segments rather than a distinct luxury-segment softness. Median $/sqft has also decreased by 1.8% year-over-year.

  • Where can I find a trusted Fredericksburg real estate expert?+

    Primpted maintains a vetted registry of Fredericksburg agents with verified credentials, Google reviews, and neighborhood specialization. See the Featured Experts section above.

Data & Methodology

Primary data sourced via Realtor.com's RDC Inventory Core Metrics (CBSA-level), supplemented by editorial analysis and the Primpted local expert registry. Historical trends calculated on a rolling 12-month basis. Past direction is not a forecast.

As of the latest 2026 data · CBSA 23240 · 36mo history