Market Intelligence Report — TX-240

Fredericksburg, TX

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-TX-08
As of the latest 2026 data
Very Weak

Median Listing

$747K
-6.0% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.14
-0.6% YoY

Active Inventory

450
-7.6% YoY

Median DOM

100 Days
+4.2% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

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The Fredericksburg market is currently Very Weak, characterized by a pending ratio of 0.14, indicating a severe imbalance where demand absorption significantly lags supply. This condition is further underscored by a 7.6% year-over-year contraction in active listings and a 6.0% year-over-year decline in the median listing price.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Local economic indicators are not yet available for this metro. Check back soon.
Market Analysis

What's moving the Fredericksburg market right now.

Active listings have decreased by 7.6% over the past year, alongside a 6.0% year-over-year reduction in median listing prices and a 4.9% decline in median price per square foot. New listings, however, have increased by 16.7% compared to the prior year. The pending ratio has contracted by 0.6 percentage points year-over-year, reaching 0.14, signaling a persistent decline in demand absorption relative to available inventory.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$747K+6.8% MoM

Active Inventory

450-7.6% YoY

Days on Market

100+4.2% YoY

Sold Score™

30-0.6% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

30
Sep 23Aug 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Sep 23Aug 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Sep 23Apr 24Nov 24Jun 25Jan 26Aug 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

With a pending ratio of 0.14 and elevated days on market at 100, demand is not absorbing available supply efficiently, affording purchasers significant leverage. The pace of transactions is slow, and inventory pressure is minimal from a buyer perspective, necessitating greater price discipline from sellers.

Luxury Segment

The luxury segment in Fredericksburg shows signs of softness, with the average listing price declining by 6.9% year-over-year while the median listing price decreased by 6.0% over the same period. The average-to-median price spread remains elevated, suggesting weaker performance at higher price points.

Supply Dynamics

450 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 84 per month.

Pricing Pressure
12.2%

of active listings carry a price reduction, -1.2% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$0K

Median price per square foot has moved -4.9% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.14

Pending-to-active ratio — Very Weak.

Recommended For This Market

Very Weak

Selling in Fredericksburg, TX? Homes here are taking 4 days longer to sell than last year.

Buyers have leverage in Fredericksburg, TX. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
14%
Median Days on Market
100 days
Inventory YoY
−8%

In a buyer's market, strategy beats timing. See how your home scores in Fredericksburg, TX and what moves the number.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
Fredericksburg, TX
CBSA Code
23240
State
TX
Analysis FAQ
  • What is the current market condition in Fredericksburg?+

    As of the latest 2026 data, the Fredericksburg metro is classified as Very Weak. Pending ratio is 0.14 with median days on market at 100.

  • Are home prices dropping in Fredericksburg?+

    Median listing price is $747K, -6.0% year over year. 12.2% of active listings carry a price reduction.

  • How fast are homes selling in Fredericksburg?+

    The typical listing sits 100 days on market, a +4.2% change YoY. New listings are arriving at 84 per month.

  • What's happening in the Fredericksburg luxury market?+

    The luxury segment in Fredericksburg shows signs of softness, with the average listing price declining by 6.9% year-over-year while the median listing price decreased by 6.0% over the same period. The average-to-median price spread remains elevated, suggesting weaker performance at higher price points.

  • Where can I find a trusted Fredericksburg real estate expert?+

    Primpted maintains a vetted registry of Fredericksburg agents with verified credentials, Google reviews, and neighborhood specialization. See the Featured Experts section above.

Data & Methodology

Primary data sourced via Realtor.com's RDC Inventory Core Metrics (CBSA-level), supplemented by editorial analysis and the Primpted local expert registry. Historical trends calculated on a rolling 12-month basis. Past direction is not a forecast.

As of the latest 2026 data · CBSA 23240 · 36mo history