Market Intelligence Report — CA-900

Merced, CA

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-CA-09
As of the latest 2026 data
Cooling

Median Listing

$448K
-0.6% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.40
-6.1% YoY

Active Inventory

465
-2.0% YoY

Median DOM

53 Days
-7.8% YoY

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The Merced market is currently experiencing a cooling trend, with the pending ratio registering at 0.40. This reflects a deceleration in buyer activity, as median listing prices have shown a modest month-over-month decline of 0.8%.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Job Market

8.1%-0.3 pp YoY

Unemployment rate · Sep 2026

Shows whether local employment conditions are supporting buyer demand.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Population & Migration

297,260+0.2% YoY

Resident population · Jan 2025

Shows whether the area is gaining or losing potential housing demand.

U.S. Census Bureau via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Future Housing Supply

Data not yet available.

Shows whether future inventory pressure may increase.

Market Analysis

What's moving the Merced market right now.

Inventory levels have contracted slightly over the past year, with active listings down 2.0% and new listings decreasing by 9.6%. Concurrently, demand indicators suggest a continued slowdown, as the pending ratio has fallen by 6.1% year-over-year to 0.40. Median days on market have also decreased by 7.8% over the past year, indicating that properties that do transact are moving more swiftly, despite the overall cooling in demand.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$448K-0.8% MoM

Active Inventory

465-2.0% YoY

Days on Market

53-7.8% YoY

Sold Score™

67-6.1% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

67
Oct 23Sep 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Oct 23Sep 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Oct 23May 24Dec 24Jul 25Feb 26Sep 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

The reduced pending ratio suggests a diminished intensity in buyer competition, providing more time for property evaluation. While active listings have seen a slight annual contraction, the decline in new listings indicates some pressure on overall supply, but this has not translated into strong pricing power for sellers. This environment necessitates careful pricing strategies and a degree of flexibility from sellers to meet market expectations.

Luxury Segment

No distinct luxury-segment signal in this dataset.

Supply Dynamics

465 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 188 per month.

Pricing Pressure
18.8%

of active listings carry a price reduction, -1.0% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$0K

Median price per square foot has moved +0.1% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.40

Pending-to-active ratio — Cooling.

Recommended For This Market

Cooling

Selling in Merced, CA? Homes here are taking 5 days less to sell than last year.

Buyers have leverage in Merced, CA. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
40%
Median Days on Market
53 days
Inventory YoY
−2%

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
Merced, CA
CBSA Code
32900
State
CA

ZIPs in Merced, CA

Sorted by active inventory · click a ZIP for its full report