Market Intelligence Report — CA-740

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-CA-08
As of the latest 2026 data
Cooling

Median Listing

$899K
-5.4% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.38
-0.3% YoY

Active Inventory

5,841
-4.9% YoY

Median DOM

45 Days
+0.0% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

Will your home sell in today's cooling San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad market?

Sold Score™ analyzes 40+ local data points to estimate your home's probability of sale in the next 60 days across San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA.

Free ReportNo Sign-up~60 Seconds

The San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad market is characterized by cooling conditions, with a pending ratio of 0.38 indicating demand absorption is lagging supply. This market dynamic is further evidenced by a 5.4% year-over-year decline in the median listing price, signaling a moderated pricing environment.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Job Market

4.7%-0.3 pp YoY

Unemployment rate · Jul 2026

Shows whether local employment conditions are supporting buyer demand.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Population & Migration

3.28M-0.2% YoY

Resident population · Jan 2025

Shows whether the area is gaining or losing potential housing demand.

U.S. Census Bureau via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Future Housing Supply

560-50.7% YoY

Building permits (private housing units) · Jul 2026

Shows whether future inventory pressure may increase.

U.S. Census Bureau building permits via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Market Analysis

What's moving the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad market right now.

Active listings have contracted by 4.9% year-over-year to 5,841 units, while new listings have increased by 5.5% over the same period. The median listing price has fallen by 5.4% year-over-year and 2.5% month-over-month. The pending ratio has declined by 0.3 year-over-year, reflecting reduced demand relative to available inventory.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$899K-2.5% MoM

Active Inventory

5,841-4.9% YoY

Days on Market

45+0.0% YoY

Sold Score™

59-0.3% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

59
Sep 23Aug 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Sep 23Aug 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Sep 23Apr 24Nov 24Jun 25Jan 26Aug 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

In the current environment, the decelerated pace of pending activity and increased new listings suggest a market where inventory pressure is reduced, requiring more price discipline from sellers. This condition extends the timeline for transactions, offering buyers more opportunities for negotiation.

Luxury Segment

Average listing prices experienced a 4.8% year-over-year decline, outpacing the 2.9% year-over-year drop in median $/sqft. This divergence suggests a particular softening in the higher-priced segments of the market.

Supply Dynamics

5,841 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 2,544 per month.

Pricing Pressure
20.0%

of active listings carry a price reduction, -1.5% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$1K

Median price per square foot has moved -2.9% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.38

Pending-to-active ratio — Cooling.

Recommended For This Market

Cooling

Selling in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA? Buyer Demand Index is running at 38%.

Buyers have leverage in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
38%
Median Days on Market
45 days
Inventory YoY
−5%

In a buyer's market, strategy beats timing. See how your home scores in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA and what moves the number.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
CBSA Code
41740
State
CA

ZIPs in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

Sorted by active inventory · click a ZIP for its full report