Market Intelligence Report — CA-740

San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-CA-09
As of the latest 2026 data
Cooling

Median Listing

$888K
-6.3% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.37
-3.4% YoY

Active Inventory

5,749
-1.5% YoY

Median DOM

46 Days
-6.2% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

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The San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad market is currently in a Cooling phase, characterized by a pending ratio of 0.37. Active listings show a modest annual contraction of 1.5%, while the median listing price has experienced a 6.3% decline over the past year.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Job Market

4.7%-0.2 pp YoY

Unemployment rate · Sep 2026

Shows whether local employment conditions are supporting buyer demand.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Population & Migration

3.28M-0.2% YoY

Resident population · Jan 2025

Shows whether the area is gaining or losing potential housing demand.

U.S. Census Bureau via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Future Housing Supply

1,200-5.7% YoY

Building permits (private housing units) · Sep 2026

Shows whether future inventory pressure may increase.

U.S. Census Bureau building permits via FRED (St. Louis Fed).

Market Analysis

What's moving the San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad market right now.

Inventory levels remain relatively stable, with active listings decreasing by 1.5% and new listings by 0.1% year-over-year. Demand indicators suggest a deceleration, as the pending ratio currently stands at 0.37, representing a 3.4% decline from the prior year. Median listing prices have contracted by 6.3% over the past year, while the median price per square foot has also declined by 3.4% in the same period, indicating broader price adjustments.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$888K-1.2% MoM

Active Inventory

5,749-1.5% YoY

Days on Market

46-6.2% YoY

Sold Score™

58-3.4% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

58
Oct 23Sep 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Oct 23Sep 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Oct 23May 24Dec 24Jul 25Feb 26Sep 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

The current market dynamics suggest a recalibration of pricing expectations, with a pending ratio of 0.37 indicating that demand absorption is lagging supply. The pace of transactions has decelerated, as evidenced by a 6.2% annual decrease in median days on market, alongside a 0.6% increase in the share of price-reduced listings to 20.4%. This environment necessitates careful price discipline from sellers.

Luxury Segment

In the luxury segment, the average listing price has declined by 4.5% year-over-year, while the median listing price concurrently fell by 6.3%. This suggests some softness in the higher price tiers, contributing to the elevated spread between average and median prices.

Supply Dynamics

5,749 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 2,326 per month.

Pricing Pressure
20.4%

of active listings carry a price reduction, +0.6% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$1K

Median price per square foot has moved -3.4% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.37

Pending-to-active ratio — Cooling.

Recommended For This Market

Cooling

Selling in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA? Homes here are taking 3 days less to sell than last year.

Buyers have leverage in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
37%
Median Days on Market
46 days
Inventory YoY
−2%

In a buyer's market, strategy beats timing. See how your home scores in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA and what moves the number.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
CBSA Code
41740
State
CA

ZIPs in San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA

Sorted by active inventory · click a ZIP for its full report