Market Intelligence Report — HI-900

Hilo-Kailua, HI

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-HI-08
As of the latest 2026 data
Very Weak

Median Listing

$600K
-4.8% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.20
-6.5% YoY

Active Inventory

1,387
+22.6% YoY

Median DOM

86 Days
-6.0% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

Will your home sell in today's very weak Hilo-Kailua market?

Sold Score™ analyzes 40+ local data points to estimate your home's probability of sale in the next 60 days across Hilo-Kailua, HI.

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The Hilo-Kailua market is currently classified as Very Weak, primarily driven by a pending ratio of 0.20. Demand absorption is significantly lagging behind available inventory, indicating substantial market softness.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Local economic indicators are not yet available for this metro. Check back soon.
Market Analysis

What's moving the Hilo-Kailua market right now.

Active listings have seen substantial growth, increasing 22.6% over the past year to 1,387 units, while new listings also rose 16.2%. Concurrently, the pending ratio declined by 6.5% year-over-year, reflecting weakening demand relative to supply. The median listing price has contracted by 4.8% over the past year, complemented by a 4.1% year-over-year decrease in median price per square foot.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$600K-1.6% MoM

Active Inventory

1,387+22.6% YoY

Days on Market

86-6.0% YoY

Sold Score™

20-6.5% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

20
Sep 23Aug 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Sep 23Aug 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Sep 23Apr 24Nov 24Jun 25Jan 26Aug 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

With a pending ratio of 0.20, the market demonstrates significant inventory pressure on available supply, suggesting an environment where transactions move at a slower pace. The prevailing conditions indicate that negotiating leverage heavily favors those with financial discipline, given the limited demand absorption and growing inventory.

Luxury Segment

The luxury segment in Hilo-Kailua exhibits distinct weakness, evidenced by an average listing price decline of 14.5% year-over-year, alongside a substantial spread between the average listing price ($1,153,991) and the median listing price ($599,925).

Supply Dynamics

1,387 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 316 per month.

Pricing Pressure
17.7%

of active listings carry a price reduction, -0.6% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$1K

Median price per square foot has moved -4.1% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.20

Pending-to-active ratio — Very Weak.

Recommended For This Market

Very Weak

Selling in Hilo-Kailua, HI? Homes here are taking 5 days less to sell than last year.

Buyers have leverage in Hilo-Kailua, HI. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
20%
Median Days on Market
86 days
Inventory YoY
+23%

In a buyer's market, strategy beats timing. See how your home scores in Hilo-Kailua, HI and what moves the number.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
Hilo-Kailua, HI
CBSA Code
25900
State
HI