Market Intelligence Report — HI-900

Hilo-Kailua, HI

Monthly housing intelligence, market trends, and trusted local expertise.

Ref. No: 2026-HI-09
As of the latest 2026 data
Very Weak

Median Listing

$599K
-3.2% YoY

Pending Ratio

0.19
-7.8% YoY

Active Inventory

1,365
+24.9% YoY

Median DOM

92 Days
-1.1% YoY

Primary Intelligence Tool — Sold Score™

Will your home sell in today's very weak Hilo-Kailua market?

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The Hilo-Kailua market currently exhibits very weak conditions, characterized by a pending ratio of 0.19. Active listings have expanded significantly year-over-year, alongside a notable decline in median listing prices.

Local Market Signals

Source: FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Local economic trends can influence how quickly homes sell and how much competition sellers may face.

Local economic indicators are not yet available for this metro. Check back soon.
Market Analysis

What's moving the Hilo-Kailua market right now.

Inventory levels have seen substantial year-over-year growth, with active listings up 24.9%. Concurrently, new listings have decreased by 8.8% year-over-year. Median listing prices have experienced a decline of 3.2% over the past year, reflecting subdued demand. The pending ratio has also decreased by 7.8% year-over-year.

Historical Analysis

Market Trends

Median Price

$599K-0.1% MoM

Active Inventory

1,365+24.9% YoY

Days on Market

92-1.1% YoY

Sold Score™

22-7.8% YoY

Sold Score™ Over Time

Market liquidity index • 36 months

22
Oct 23Sep 26

Price & Days on Market

Median listing vs market velocity

Price DOM
Oct 23Sep 26

Inventory Dynamics

Total active listings vs new monthly supply

Active New listings
Oct 23May 24Dec 24Jul 25Feb 26Sep 26

Sourced from Realtor.com RDC Inventory Core Metrics, supplemented by the Primpted research desk. Updated As of the latest 2026 data.

Market Signals & Indicators

Negotiating Leverage

Negotiating leverage favors greater price discipline, as a low pending ratio indicates a slower pace of absorption. The expansion in inventory places less pressure on immediate purchasing decisions. These factors combine to create an environment where offers are less competitive.

Luxury Segment

The luxury segment in Hilo-Kailua shows signs of softness, with the average listing price declining by 14.8% year-over-year and median $/sqft down 4.8%. The substantial spread between the average listing price ($1,135,994) and the median listing price ($599,000) also suggests a divergence in performance, with higher-priced properties potentially facing greater challenges.

Supply Dynamics

1,365 active listings represent the current floor, with new supply arriving at roughly 250 per month.

Pricing Pressure
16.7%

of active listings carry a price reduction, +2.4% from prior period.

$/Sq Ft
$0K

Median price per square foot has moved -4.8% year-over-year.

Absorption
0.19

Pending-to-active ratio — Very Weak.

Recommended For This Market

Very Weak

Selling in Hilo-Kailua, HI? Inventory is up 25% from last year.

Buyers have leverage in Hilo-Kailua, HI. Homes that sell are the ones priced and presented for today's conditions, not last year's.

Buyer Demand Index
19%
Median Days on Market
92 days
Inventory YoY
+25%

In a buyer's market, strategy beats timing. See how your home scores in Hilo-Kailua, HI and what moves the number.

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Metro Demographics

Metro Area
Hilo-Kailua, HI
CBSA Code
25900
State
HI
Analysis FAQ
  • What is the current market condition in Hilo-Kailua?+

    As of the latest 2026 data, the Hilo-Kailua metro is classified as Very Weak. Pending ratio is 0.19 with median days on market at 92.

  • Are home prices dropping in Hilo-Kailua?+

    Median listing price is $599K, -3.2% year over year. 16.7% of active listings carry a price reduction.

  • How fast are homes selling in Hilo-Kailua?+

    The typical listing sits 92 days on market, a -1.1% change YoY. New listings are arriving at 250 per month.

  • What's happening in the Hilo-Kailua luxury market?+

    The luxury segment in Hilo-Kailua shows signs of softness, with the average listing price declining by 14.8% year-over-year and median $/sqft down 4.8%. The substantial spread between the average listing price ($1,135,994) and the median listing price ($599,000) also suggests a divergence in performance, with higher-priced properties potentially facing greater challenges.

  • Where can I find a trusted Hilo-Kailua real estate expert?+

    Primpted maintains a vetted registry of Hilo-Kailua agents with verified credentials, Google reviews, and neighborhood specialization. See the Featured Experts section above.

Data & Methodology

Primary data sourced via Realtor.com's RDC Inventory Core Metrics (CBSA-level), supplemented by editorial analysis and the Primpted local expert registry. Historical trends calculated on a rolling 12-month basis. Past direction is not a forecast.

As of the latest 2026 data · CBSA 25900 · 36mo history